Joint Colloquium of IACA, IAAHS and PBSS โ Hong Kong
7-9 May 2012
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Consulting
Reform of the Fiji National Provident Fund
Speakers: Geoff Rashbrooke
May 7, 2012
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ASTIN: The Benktander Golden Stairs and Other Parameter-Free Credibility Methods in Loss Reserving
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The Benktander method has been Professor Walther Neuhausโ loss reserving method of choice for more than three decades, due to its simplicity and efficiency. To him, it's the Benktander Golden Stairs. This talk gives a mathematical formulation of the notion that the Benktander method is not too far from optimal, most of the time. It does not claim that the Benktander method is optimal, only that it often is close; in most situations it outperforms the Chain Ladder method with a good margin.
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Asset-Intensive Reinsurance: Evolving Perspectives in Life Insurance Risk Management
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Professionalism
International Actuaries Day 2026
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AI / Data Science
IAALS: Open IRM โ A Publicly Accessible Internal Risk Model of an Artificial Life Insurer for Analyzing and Benchmarking Actuarial Methods in the Solvency II Setting
Predicting and understanding solvency figures poses major challenges for life insurers. Internal risk models provide realistic representations, but they remain company-internal and make model understanding difficult. This makes it hard to compare new machine-learning methods for prediction and explainability objectively and under realistic scenarios. We developed openIRM, an open-source internal risk model for an artificial life insurer. It combines an economic scenario generator based on the G2++ interest-rate model with a cash-flow projection model. The model supports both outer real-world simulations and inner simulations for determining basic own funds. It has also been calibrated for all trading days from September 2016 to December 2023 and allows the use of direct and indirect valuation methods, which have been shown to produce consistent results. This talk gives a short introduction to risk modelling for a life insurer under Solvency II, outlines how the openIRM model works, and demonstrates its practical use through a concrete example. Speaker: Mark-Oliver Wolf Moderator: Ernst Visser
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General Insurance
ASTIN: Individual Loss Reserving for Multi-Coverage Insurance
Individual loss reserving methods have undergone substantial development in the past decade, driven by increased access to granular-level insurance claims data. This research aims to propose a micro loss reserving model tailored for multi-coverage insurance policies, where a single insurance claim might trigger payments from multiple coverage types. A copula-based multivariate regression approach is employed to jointly model the settlement time and loss amount, effectively capturing the dependence among various types of loss amounts and their correlation with the settlement time. We stress the importance of considering both types of dependence for accurate reserving prediction and uncertainty quantification. Furthermore, we propose computationally efficient algorithms for parameter estimation and dynamic prediction. Through numerical experiments and real data analysis, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed multivariate predictive model in loss reserving applications.
Speaker: Roxane Turcotte
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