84-B
Mapping the Sustainability of Care and Support for the Elderly in Developed Countries
This paper will present a visual display conveying a large amount of information that will enable the sustainability of the array of support and care programs in a number of developed countries to be understood quickly. Although the visual display itself could be quickly understood, there is a significant amount of work required in order to be able to catalogue the relevant programs for the countries, and then to prepare an assessment of sustainability. Depending on the methodology eventually decided upon, and the availability of the necessary data, it may not be possible to assess the programs of every developed country; however, at least 6 countries’ programs, including Canada, England and the United States, will be assessed and mapped. Such a mapping and assessment should be of interest to many of the attendees at the 2014 Congress.
I have not yet determined how best to measure and represent sustainability. Some items to consider include: current cost, projected cost increases, demographic changes (that affect number of recipients, number of taxpayers, type of care), impact on other government expenditures, culture (e.g., Swedes seem prepared to bear heavier tax burdens than do Americans).